Preview · Available August 2026

The 2026 National Risk Environment Report

An early look at the trends shaping medical malpractice risk this year — the divergence of frequency and severity, the ripple effects of COVID, and how tort reform and legal advertising are rewriting exposure.

📖 National Edition
🗓️ Available August 2026
Three forces shaping 2026

What's inside this year's report

Toggle between the year's most important risk signals. Each view is a preview of the deeper analysis coming in the full report.

Fewer claims. Bigger consequences.

Nationally, claim frequency continues to decline. But average verdicts and payments are climbing faster than frequency is falling - so while risk may be declining, it is becoming far more expensive.

Why it matters High-severity claims can outweigh years of hard-won improvements in frequency. Managing exposure now means managing potential outliers.
National claim frequency, 10-year trend
National average indemnity per claim, 10-year trend
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Severity Frequency Indexed trend, 2019 = 100

COVID changed the risk equation.

The pandemic was an inflection point, not a temporary disruption. Claim volume slowed during lockdowns, then rebounded — and deferred care, staffing strain, and burnout continue to shape outcomes today. Pandemic-era litigation is still moving through the courts.

Why it matters Today's claims behavior is shaped by yesterday's disruption. The pandemic didn't create entirely new risks — it amplified the ones already present.
Slowed
Claim volume during 2020 lockdowns
Rebounded
As patients re-engaged and courts reopened
Persisting
Pandemic-era litigation and workforce strain
Pre-COVID → COVID → Post-COVID ripple PRE-COVID COVID ERA POST-COVID RIPPLE 2018–2019 2020–2022 2023–2026+ Baseline Steady trend Slowed Courts paused Rebounded + ripple effects Deferred care Staffing strain Court backlog Burnout & handoffs Claim volume & severity shaped by pandemic disruption — still in motion.

Risk depends on where you practice.

The legal environment is no longer uniform. Some states are reinforcing caps and procedural safeguards; others are expanding damage limits or weakening defenses. And legal advertising — billboards, digital, streaming — is influencing claims long before any incident occurs.

Why it matters Jurisdiction is now a primary driver of risk. In high-advertising regions, claim behavior could change before claims appear- higher attorney involvement may often correlate with higher severity.
Uneven
Tort reform landscape across states
Rising
Legal advertising spend, nationwide
Volatile
Claim outcomes may vary according to the level of reforms per state
Tort-reform climate · 2026 preview
Tort-reform climate Strong reform Mixed / uncertain Plaintiff-friendly
Legal ad spend (annual, $M) $25M $75M $150M+
Top states by legal ad spend (2025 est.)
Interactive preview

Demographic Risk Report Card

Risk is not one-size-fits-all. Exposure shifts based on who you are, where you practice, and what you do. Choose a profile to preview how national trends reshape the risk picture. This report is a demonstration only. All findings and scores shown are illustrative and not derived from actual data.

Sample Risk Report Card

National trends · Illustrative preview
Mid-career · Florida · Rural · OB/Surgery/EM/Anes
Where are you in your career?
Which state?
Plaintiff-friendly High legal ad spend · $280M/yr
Where do you practice?
Which specialty group?
Elevated
Risk Score (1-10)
Risk Score (1–10)

Elevated — severity-driven

Mid-career physicians in high-severity specialties see fewer claims but larger outcomes. Mixed reform environments add unpredictability.

Claim frequency
Moderate
Severity exposure
Elevated
Legal volatility
Elevated
Post-COVID modifier
Moderate
What's shaping this profile
  • 1.Severity concentrates where outcomes are irreversibleHigh-severity specialties carry catastrophic-outcome exposure — fewer claims, larger damages.
  • 2.Legal stability matters as much as legal limitsMixed or recently-changed reforms add unpredictability, even where caps exist on paper.
  • 3.Rural severity outruns rural frequencyFewer claims don't equal lower exposure when a single case carries outsized weight.

Indicators are directional and illustrative, drawn from national trends (not confidential data). The full report layers in specialty, venue, and state-specific detail.

Coming August 2026

Be the first to read the full report.

The 2026 National Risk Environment Report will be available in August. Be the first to get access.

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This webpage contains a preview of the forthcoming Risk Environment Report scheduled for release in August 2026. The information presented is provided solely for informational and demonstration purposes and should not be relied on as legal or professional advice. Content included in this preview is subject to change.